Ci siamo. Stanotte, al Kodak Theater di Los Angeles, verranno consegnati gli 83mi Oscar della storia del cinema: qualche sorpresa potrebbe esserci, ma ancora una volta, grazie al web e a un numero crescente di siti internazionali che si occupa della statuetta più ambita, le anticipazioni si sono quasi del tutto trasformate in certezze.
Come ogni anno, cercherò quindi di azzardare il mio pronostico: domani vedremo quanto avrò avuto ragione.
Di seguito la mia previsione e la mia preferenza per ogni categoria.
Best Motion Picture of the Year
127 ore (2010)
Black Swan (2010)
The Fighter (2010)
Inception (2010)
I ragazzi stanno bene (2010)
Il discorso del re (2010)
The Social Network (2010)
Toy story 3 - La grande fuga (2010)
Il Grinta (2010)
Winter's Bone (2010)
Chi vincerà: IL DISCORSO DEL RE
Chi dovrebbe vincere: BLACK SWAN
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem for Biutiful (2010)
Jeff Bridges for Il Grinta (2010)
The Social Network for Jesse Eisenberg (2010)
Colin Firth's speech for the King (2010) James Franco
for 127 hours (2010)
Who will win: COLIN FIRTH
Who should win: COLIN FIRTH
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening for The boys are doing well (2010)
Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole (2010)
Jennifer Lawrence for Winter's Bone (2010)
Natalie Portman for Black Swan (2010)
Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine (2010)
Who will win: NATALIE PORTMAN
Who should win: Annette Bening (Sorry, Natalie ...)
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale for The Fighter (2010)
John Hawkes for Winter's Bone (2010)
Jeremy Renner for The Town (2010)
Mark Ruffalo for The boys are doing well (2010 )
Geoffrey Rush for The speech of the King (2010)
Who will win: CHRISTIAN BALE
Who should win: JOHN HAWKES
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role Amy Adams
for The Fighter (2010 )
Helena Bonham Carter's speech for the King (2010)
Melissa Leo for The Fighter (2010)
Hailee Steinfeld for The Grit (2010) Jacki Weaver
for Animal Kingdom (2010)
Who will win: Hailee STEINFELD
Who should win: Helena Bonham Carter
Best Achievement in Directing
Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan (2010)
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen for The Grit (2010)
The Social Network for David Fincher (2010) Tom Hooper
for King's speech (2010) David O.
Russell for The Fighter (2010)
Who will win: David Fincher
Who should win: Darren Aronofsky
Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Another Year (2010): Mike Leigh
The Fighter (2010): Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson
Inception (2010): Christopher Nolan
I ragazzi stanno bene (2010): Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg
Il discorso del re (2010): David Seidler
Chi vincerà: IL DISCORSO DEL RE
Chi dovrebbe vincere: I RAGAZZI STANNO BENE
Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
127 ore (2010): Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy
The Social Network (2010): Aaron Sorkin
Toy story 3 - La grande fuga (2010): Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich
Il Grinta (2010): Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
Winter's Bone (2010): Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini
Who will win: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Who should win: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Dragon Trainer (2010): Dean DeBlois, Chris Sanders
The Illusionist (2010): Sylvain Chomet
Toy Story 3 - The Great Escape (2010): Lee Unkrich
Who will win: TOY STORY 3
Who should win: DRAGON TRAINER (Mamma mia what I wrote ...)
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
Biutiful (2010): Alejandro González Iñárritu (Mexico)
Kynodontas (2009): Lanthimos Giorgos (Greece)
In a better world (2010): Susanne Bier (Denmark)
Incendies (2010): Denis Villeneuve (Canada)
Hors-la-loi (2010): Rachid Bouchareb (Algeria )
Who will win: IN A BETTER WORLD
Who should win: and who has seen one??
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Black Swan (2010): Matthew Libatique
Inception (2010): Wally Pfister
The speech of the King (2010): The Social Network
Danny Cohen (2010): Jeff Cronenweth
The Grit (2010): Roger Deakins
About win: THE GRINTA
Who should win: BLACK SWAN
Best Achievement in Editing
127 hours (2010): Jon Harris
Black Swan (2010): Andrew Weisblum
The Fighter (2010): Pamela Martin
The speech of the King (2010): The Social Network
Tariq Anwar (2010): Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall
Who will win: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Who should win: 127 HOURS
Best Achievement in Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland (2010): Robert Stromberg, Karen O'Hara
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I (2010): Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan
Inception (2010): Guy Hendrix Dryas, Larry Dias, Douglas A. Mowat
The speech of the King (2010): Eve Stewart, Judy Farr
The Grit (2010): Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
Who will win: THE SPEECH OF THE KING
Who should win: Inception
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland (2010): Colleen Atwood
I Am Love (2009): Antonella Cannarozzi
The speech of the king (2010): Jenny Beavan
The Tempest (2010/II): Sandy Powell The
Grit (2010): Mary Zophres
Who will win: ALICE IN WONDERLAND
Who should win: THE SPEECH OF THE KING
Best Achievement in Makeup
version of Barney (2010): Adrien Morot
The Way Back (2010): Edouard F. Henriques, Greg Funk, Yolanda Toussieng
Wolfman (2010): Rick Baker, Dave Elsey
Who will win: WOLFMAN
Who should win: I've only seen Wolfman, who does not deserve to win even a slap in the face. ..
Best Achievement in Music - Original Score
127 hours (2010): AR Rahman
Train Your Dragon (2010): John Powell
Inception (2010): Hans Zimmer
The speech of the King (2010): Alexandre Desplat
The Social Network (2010): Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
Who will win: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Who should win: DRAGON TRAINER
Best Achievement in Music - Original Song
127 hours (2010): AR Rahman, Rollo Armstrong, Dido ("If I Rise" )
Country Strong (2010): Tom Douglas, Hillary Lindsey, Troy Verges ("Coming Home")
Rapunzel - The plot of the tower (2010): Alan Menken, Glenn Slater ("I See the Light")
Toy story 3 - The Great Escape (2010): Randy Newman ("We Belong Together")
Who will win: 127 HOURS
Who should win: but to TOY STORY 3 (strasentita and cloying).
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Inception (2010)
The speech of the King (2010)
Salt (2010) The Social Network
(2010)
The Grit (2010)
Who will win: Inception
About should win: Inception
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Inception (2010)
Toy Story 3 - The Great Escape (2010)
TRON: Legacy (2010)
The Grit (2010)
Unstoppable - Out of Control (2010 )
Who will win: Inception
Who should win: Inception
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Alice in Wonderland (2010)
Harry Potter e i doni della morte: Parte I (2010)
Hereafter (2010)
Inception (2010)
Iron Man 2 (2010)
Chi vincerà: INCEPTION
Chi dovrebbe vincere: INCEPTION
Best Documentary, Features
Exit Through the Gift Shop (2010): Banksy
GasLand (2010): Josh Fox
Inside Job (2010): Charles Ferguson
Restrepo (2010): Tim Hetherington, Sebastian Junger
Waste Land (2010): Lucy Walker
Chi vincerà: INSIDE JOB
Chi dovrebbe vincere: non ne ho idea.
Best Documentary, Short Subjects
Killing in the Name (2010)
Poster Girl (2010)
Strangers No More (2010)
Sun Come Up (2010)
Qiugang of The Warriors (2010)
Who will win: STRANGERS NO MORE
Who should win: as above.
Best Short Film, Animated
Day & Night (2010)
The Gruffalo (2009) (TV)
Let's Poll (2009)
The Lost Thing (2010)
Madagascar, carnet de voyage (2010)
Who will win: DAY & NIGHT
Who should win: as above.
Best Short Film, Live Action
The Confession (2010/IV)
The Crush (2009)
God of Love (2010)
Na Wewe (2010)
Wish 143 (2009)
Chi vincerà: NA WEWE
Chi dovrebbe vincere: idem come sopra.
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